Week 5 NFL picks


Jacksonville @ Bills (PK; no line, just pick the winner)– Jacksonville
The Bills looked miserable against the Jets, and Jacksonville took down the Colts. This is the first game of the year listed as PK, so I don’t have any fancy stats to pull here.

Denver (+7) @ BaltimoreDenver
Baltimore looked good last week and could be dangerous if they get rolling, but Denver looked good too, beating Tennessee on the road. Kyle Orton to Brandon Lloyd has been a surprisingly lethal combination.

Kansas City (+7 1/2) @ IndianapolisKansas City
Still playing the hot hand. I can’t see Indi losing two games in a row, but when things are going right–as they are for Kansas City–they’re really going right. The Chiefs had a bye week to get ready for Peyton, and they’ll be ready to show everyone they aren’t a fluke.

St. Louis (+3) @ DetroitDetroit
Detroit has actually been a lot better than people think. Jahvid Best’s status will be key, but I’ll take the Lions returning home.

Atlanta @ Cleveland (+3)–Cleveland
The Browns were a plus-3 last week against Cincinnati at home and won the game. I’ll bet they can keep it tight against Atlanta, too.

Tampa Bay (+6 1/2) @ CincinnatiBengals
Still not convinced Tampa is even a decent team, despite their 2-1 record. Beat two softies, lost to a good team. More of the same.

Chicago (+1) @ CarolinaBears
Da Bears. After getting embarrassed on prime time last week, I’ll bet the Bears are ready to go against a rookie QB.

Green Bay @ Washington (+2 1/2)–Packers
I still like Green Bay as the NFC Champ. I’ll take them by a field goal over the ‘Skins.

NYG (+3) @ HoustonTexans
Home teams getting points taken away are statistically the worst group of teams this year, but I still like Houston in this one. Matt Schaub won’t get sacked as many times as last week. Still riding the A-Train.

New Orleans @ Arizona (+7)–Saints
Saints desperately need a breakout performance. It’s not a question of are they good enough. We know they are. Arizona is a good opponent to beat bigtime.

San Diego @ Oakland (+6)–Chargers
San Diego is rolling. Who is Oakland’s QB? Jason Campbell? JaMarcus Russell? Marcus Tuiasosopo? It’s Bruce Gradkowski. Yeah.

Tennessee (+7) @ DallasTitans
Chris Johnson needs to get rolling early. Tennessee pass-D has been good this year, Tony Romo will have pressure all day.

Philadelphia (+3) @ San Francisco49ers Best bet
QB issues in Philly? San Francisco finally busts through.

Minnesota (+4) @ JetsVikings
Brett to Randy all day long. Moss always does well in his first game with a team. Without Moss I’m taking the Jets.

Standings: “It’s gonna be a dramatic comeback” -Herb Brooks, Miracle. Best Bets in parenthesis.

Sullivan 34-24-3 (2-2)
DiCesare 30-28-3 (2-2)
Northrop 28-30-3 (4-0)
McKissic, Gaughan 27-31-3 (2-2, 3-1)
Wilson 26-32-3 (2-2)
It’s Always Game Seven 18-40-3 (2-1-1)