NFL Week 4 picks

The Bills defense came up big last week with turnovers. Tom Brady matched his interception total from all of last season in one game, and lost in large part because of it. Maybe four is the magic number to beating Brady — the Bills picked him off four times in the 2003, 31-0 game, too. The Bills are three-point favorites this week at Cincinnati. How can you not take that?

Buffalo (-3) over CINCINNATI*

Detroit (+2.5) over DALLAS

New Orleans (-7) over JACKSONVILLE

San Francisco (+9.5) over PHILADELPHIA

ST. LOUIS (+2.5) over Washington

CLEVELAND (pick) over Tennessee

Minnesota (-2.5) over KANSAS CITY

CHICAGO (-6.5) over Carolina

Pittsburgh (+4) over HOUSTON

Atlanta (-5) over SEATTLE

Giants (-1.5)  over ARIZONA

Miami (+7) over SAN DIEGO

GREEN BAY (-12.5) over Denver

New England (-5) over OAKLAND

Jets (+3.5) over BALTIMORE

TAMPA BAY (-10) over Indianapolis

My thinking is to know better than to pick against the Patriots. I know Oakland just beat the Jets and is the home team. That’s how much respect Brady and the Hoodie have earned over the years — I trust them not to lose twice.

Last week:
New England (-8.5) over BUFFALO
Bills 34-31. Loss
San Francisco (+2.5) over CINCINNATI
49ers 13-8. Win
NEW ORLEANS (-4) over Houston
Saints 40-33. Win
Giants (+7) over PHILADELPHIA
Giants 29-16. Win
Browns 17-16. Loss
TENNESSEE (-7) over Denver
Titans 17-14. Loss
Detroit (-3.5) over MINNESOTA
Lions 26-23. Loss
CAROLINA (-3.5) over Jacksonville
Panthers 16-10. Win
SAN DIEGO (-14.5) over Kansas City
Chargers 20-17. Loss
Jets (-3.5) over OAKLAND
Raiders 34-24. Loss
Baltimore (-4) over ST. LOUIS*
Ravens 37-7. Win
Atlanta (+1.5) over TAMPA BAY
Bucs 16-13. Loss
Arizona (-3) over SEATTLE
Seattle 13-10. Loss
CHICAGO (+3.5) over Green Bay
Packers 37-17. Loss
Pittsburgh (-10.5) over INDIANAPOLIS
Steelers 23-20. Loss
Washington (+6) over DALLAS
Cowboys 18-16. Win

6-10, 0-1
22-22-3, 0-2-1