I’m picking the Bills to win this week. I probably shouldn’t. Not by a touchdown, even at home.

It could be something about former coach Mike Mularkey coming back for a visit. Maybe it’s that it’d be so “Bills” to lay a goose egg last week in a game they need and then come out and win this week when it’s too late.

Chad Henne nearly beat Houston in his first week replacing Blaine Gabbert as Jacksonville’s quarterback and he got a win over Tennessee last week. But the Jaguars gave up seven sacks last week to a Titans team that only had 16 sacks in weeks 1-11. Buffalo’s defensive line should have a good day.

If the rain that’s forecasted comes down hard enough to limit the passing games, I like a heavy dose of C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson a lot more than Rashad Jennings, who starts this week for Jacksonville after Maurice Jone-Drew and Jalen Parmele were lost to injury.

Jacksonville (+6) at Bills — Bills

Seattle (+3½) at Chicago — Chicago

Minnesota (+9) at Green Bay — Green Bay

San Francisco at St. Louis (+7) — 49ers

Arizona (+4½) at Jets — Cardinals

Carolina at Kansas City (+3) — Panthers

Indianapolis (+4) at Detroit — Colts

New England at Miami (+7) — Patriots

Houston at Tennessee (+6) — Houston

Tampa Bay (+7) at Denver — Tampa

Pittsburgh (+6) at Baltimore — Baltimore*

Cleveland (+1½) at Oakland — Cleveland

Cincinnati at San Diego (+1) — Bengals

Philadelphia (+10) at Dallas — Eagles

Giants at Washington (+2) — Giants

Skurski 84-72-6 (6-5-1)
DiCesare 80-76-6 (6-6)
Graham 79-77-6 (4-7-1)
Sullivan 78-78-6 (5-6-1)
IAGS 73-83-6 (9-2-1)
Northrop 73-83-6 (4-7-1)
Gaughan 71-85-6 (6-5-1)

Last week:

Bills (+3) at Indianapolis — Colts
Colts 20-13. Win

Oakland (+7½) at Cincinnati — Bengals
Bengals 34-10. Win

Pittsburgh (pick) at Cleveland — Cleveland
Browns 20-14. Win

Denver at Kansas City (+10) — Denver
Broncos 17-9. Loss

Tennessee at Jacksonville (+3) — Jacksonville
Jags 24-19. Win

Minnesota (pick) at Chicago — Chicago
Bears 28-10. Win

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (+1) — Atlanta
Atlanta 24-23. Push

Seattle at Miami (+3) — Seattle
Dolphins 24-21. Loss

Baltimore at San Diego (+1) — Ravens
Ravens 16-13. Win

San Francisco at New Orleans (+1) — Saints
49ers 31-21. Loss

St. Louis (+2) at Arizona — Cardinals
Rams 31-17. Loss

Green Bay (+2½) at Giants — Packers
Giants 38-10. Loss

Carolina (+2½) at Philadelphia — Carolina*
Panthers 30-22. Win

7-5-1