NFL Week 6 picks

Eli: “I’m the better quarterback. You haven’t even played, bro.” Peyton: “What? Look how lost the Colts are without me!”

I was impressed by the Bills last week. Coming back after a momentum-stopping loss was a big step to show that the team wasn’t just getting lucky, they’re for real. The yardage and points allowed are still concerning, but hey, shootouts are way more exciting than defensive struggles.

The Bills are in New Jersey this weekend to face Eli Manning and the Giants. The Giants are favored by more than a field goal. Bills as underdogs? We got them right where we want them.

Candidate for tweet of the year from Stevie Johnson:

Bills (+3.5) over GIANTS

St. Louis (+15) over GREEN BAY

Jacksonville (+12) over PITTSBURGH

WASHINGTON (+1) over Philadelphia

San Francisco (+4.5) over DETROIT

Carolina (+4) over ATLANTA

CINCINNATI (-7) over Indianapolis

BALTIMORE (-7.5) over Houston

OAKLAND (-6.5) over Cleveland

NEW ENGLAND (-7) over Dallas

New Orleans (-4.5) over TAMPA BAY

CHICAGO (-3) over Minnesota*

Miami (+7) over JETS

Overall (best bets*)

Northrop: 42-31-3 (2-2-1)
Skurski: 38-35-3 (1-4)
Always Game Seven 38-35-3 (0-3-1)
DiCesare: 36-37-3 (3-1-1)
Gaughan: 35-38-3 (2-2-1)
McKissic: 35-38-3 (3-2)
Sullivan: 30-43-3 (0-4-1)

Last week:
BILLS (+2.5) over Philadelphia
Bills 31-24. Win
Kansas City (+2.5) over INDIANAPOLIS
Chiefs 28-24. Win
Arizona (+2.5) over MINNESOTA
Vikings 34-10. Loss
Oakland (+6) over HOUSTON
Raiders 25-20. Win
CAROLINA (+6) over New Orleans
Saints 30-27. Win
Cincinnati (+2.5) over JACKSONVILLE
Bengals 30-20. Win
PITTSBURGH (-3.5) over Tennessee
Steelers 38-17. Win
Seattle (+10) over GIANTS
Seahawks 36-25. Win
Tampa Bay (+3) over SAN FRANCISCO
49ers 48-3. Loss
NEW ENGLAND (-9.5) over Jets
Pats 30-21. Loss
San Diego (-4) over DENVER
Chargers 29-24. Win
Green Bay (-5.5) over ATLANTA
Packers 25-14. Win
DETROIT (-6) over Chicago
Lions 24-13. Win
10-3

NFL Week 2 picks

I’m trying really hard not to be “that guy,” but I’m still far from sold on the Buffalo Bills this year.

They won one game. Against a team that played miserably. We know the Bills aren’t a team that will put up 41 points on a regular basis. I was very impressed with a lot of things last week, but you have to attribute a lot of our success to Kansas City’s poor play.

Steve Johnson hauled in a nice touchdown reception and threw the (legal) cut block on Eric Berry that injured his knee.

Eric Berry went down with a season-ending injury on the first drive after getting flattened by Steve Johnson (imagine what would’ve happened if he tried to cross the Moats). They were without their best player nearly the entire game.

The Bills did well for themselves to score early, but that’s the only reason the Chiefs’ running game never got going. Jamaal Charles didn’t run poorly (5.6 yards per carry), Kansas City was just forced to pass because it was down so many. Charles only had 10 carries.

Dwayne Bowe had a pedestrian 17 yards on two catches, so I give lots of credit to a banged-up Bills secondary that also limited Matt Cassel to 119 yards.

There were a lot of positives to take from last game. C.J. Spiller even managed to get his first career rushing touchdown. I don’t hate the Bills, I’m just not sold yet. The Raiders present a bigger challenge. People forget Oakland was an 8-8 team last season, and in football, a .500 team is one that was fairly competitive. The Bills probably could have been close to 8-8 if a few key bounces went our way, but they didn’t, and that’s why we were 4-12.

I like the Bills to win a close one at the home opener. I do wish the line was smaller than three points, but everyone else probably does, too.

BUFFALO (-3) over Oakland

NEW ORLEANS (-6.5) over Chicago

DETROIT (-8) over Kansas City

JETS (-9.5) over Jacksonville

Arizona (+3.5) over WASHINGTON

Baltimore (-6) over TENNESSEE

Seattle (+14) over PITTSBURGH

CAROLINA (+10) over Green Bay

Tampa Bay (+3) over MINNESOTA

INDIANAPOLIS (+2) over Cleveland

Dallas (-3) over SAN FRANCISCO

Houston (-3) over MIAMI

NEW ENGLAND (-7) over San Diego

Cincinnati (+3.5) over DENVER

Philadelphia (-2.5) over ATLANTA*

GIANTS (-6) over ST. LOUIS

Last week:

KANSAS CITY (-6) over Buffalo
Bills 41-7. Loss

Pittsburgh (+2 1/2) over BALTIMORE
Ravens 35-7. Loss
TAMPA BAY (-2) over Detroit
Lions 27-20. Loss
CHICAGO (+3) over Atlanta
Bears 30-12. Win
Indianapolis (+8 1/2) over HOUSTON
Texans 34-7. Loss
Philadelphia (-5) over ST. LOUIS
Eagles 31-13. Win
Cincinnati (+6 1/2) over CLEVELAND
Bengals 27-17. Win
Tennessee (+2) over JACKSONVILLE*
Jags 16-14. Push
Giants (-3) over WASHINGTON
Redskins 28-14. Loss
Carolina (+7) over ARIZONA
Cards 28-21. Push
Seattle (+5) over SAN FARNCISCO
49ers 33-17. Loss
Minnesota (+8 1/2) over SAN DIEGO
Chargers 24-17. Win
JETS (-4 1/2) over Dallas
Jets 27-24. Loss
New England (-7) over MIAMI
Pats 38-2. Win
DENVER (-3) over Oakland
Raiders 23-20. Loss
5-8-2, 0-0-1

2010 first round RB watch:

C.J. Spiller 5 rushes, 16 yards, 3.2 YPC, 1 TD.

Ryan Matthews 12 rushes, 45 yards, 3.8 YPC, 0 TD.

Jahvid Best 21 rushes, 72 yards, 3.4 YPC, 0 TD.